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Gambling News
Poker Network
If you play online poker for a living or if you are
considering that as a vocation you should understand that despite its
mostly solitary existence one of the keys to success is maintaining a
Poker network .
As with any job or career having an extensive list of colleague or
contacts, in this case a poker network, can help you attain success
quicker. You should seek outlets were you can make friends that are as
devoted to your profession as you are. Not only, will it help you grow as
a player it will also ground you and keep you emotionally healthier. Many
online poker players fit the stereotype of being intellectual introverts.
Nothing wrong with that, and online poker is a great way for people like
that to have a career without having to network too much or comingling
with the masses more than they’d like. However, there is a degree to which
you can take it too far like becoming a shut-in or an online hermit. If
you become completely detached from the real world you need to make time
to get out of the house and interact with real people. If you still
maintain some interaction with real world people you should also focus on
developing a group of friends or peers online and form your own poker
network. This can be done via the social networks, in the chat-box with
players you respect or come to like, or on any of the many online forums,
communities or message boards. Sure, there is a natural reticence or
shyness that many players will have to overcome in building their poker
network, but that is a good skill for all walks of life. You’ll also find
that many of the people you approach share similar dispositions and
reluctance to mingle like an extrovert. You’ll find that the initial
contact may be a challenge but after that the reward is well worth the
risk. Of course, the feel of rejection is high, probably more so with the
personality type of an online poker player, but so is the fear of putting
out a big turn bet bluff knowing you may have to make an even bigger one
on the river. To become a successful poker player you’ll have to overcome
both fears. A poker network allows you to discuss hands, strategy, and
life skills. Your give and take will make it easier for all of you to grow
as professionals. Understanding the rigidness of bankroll rules, and
hearing cautionary tales from similar people undergoing similar
life-experiences is invaluable. Not only that, your real world friends
won’t be able to relate to your gambling travails as easily as your new
friends will because your poker network consists of people living the same
life. Any career is advanced with the help of others: even an online
professional poker career. The draw to the game may be the same elements
that causes a player to withdraw from developing such a poker network, but
that is an easy hurdle to overcome. Let’s face it, most of the rejections
will come in a digital form and that’s far easier to take than getting
shot-down in real life. Also, the weeding out process kind of takes care
of things for you. If a player you respect doesn’t respond to your email,
then he probably wouldn’t have helped you out anyway. Obviously, you need
to be on guard for the types that will befriend you to steal from you but
that’s true in all aspects of life. You may never meet your poker network
in real life, but you can certainly profit from building one
electronically. AIMS, Skype, email, messenger, are all tools of
communications that can be used while playing to build your poker network.
Befriend or reach out to someone today, you’ll be glad you did tomorrow.
Implied odds are everything in no-limit hold’em
When you come to no limit hold’em from limit hold’em then it can be all
too easy to have a pot odds mindset (also known as expressed odds).
However in no limit hold’em then it is not the current pot odds that are
important but how much you could potentially win and this is known as
implied odds. Let us look at an example here to highlight what I mean. You
open raise to $3.50 in NL100 full ring and the button and both blinds call
you making the pot $14. You have the Jc-10c and the flop comes Ad-Kc-4s
and the small blind bets $10 and the big blind calls.
There is now $34 in the pot and you just have an inside straight draw and
nothing more. That is 11/1 against happening on the next card and your
immediate pot odds are only 3.4/1 which is woefully short. There is also
the possibility that the button will re-raise as well. However the button
only called pre-flop and so is unlikely to take aggressive action here.
Each player has a $200 stack and so should you hit your hand then you
could be taking a lot of money off not one player but potentially two or
three.
So your pot odds are poor but your implied odds could be huge. The button
folds and the turn card is the Qc and you had called making the pot $44.
The small blind bets $27 and the big blind calls making the pot $98. You
decide to drop the hammer and you raise to $98. The small blind shoves
while the big blind folds and you call. The end pot is $444 (less the rake)
of which $244 is pure profit. The pay off in this instance is way above
what your pot odds were on the flop when you called with the inside
straight draw.
Folding on the flop and saving the $10 is not a bad play as you will miss
in ten out of every eleven situations that you face here. However in no
limit hold’em then you simply have to be prepared to risk money in the
pursuit of big pots. Your entire series of results including your long
term earn rate will be focused around the big pots that you play, the
frequency of them and your success rate in them. The reason why many
players shy away from making calls of this nature is that it increases the
variance. However there are clear links between variance and earn rate and
in order to increase your earn rate then you absolutely must take more
calculated risks.
In fact it is only when you are prepared to accept risk do you really
surge ahead with your poker earnings. This is all assuming of course that
your game is strong enough to begin with. So remember that it is implied
odds and not expressed odds that are king in no limit hold’em.
Last but not least, are you playing poker at a site full of fish? Check
out the Texas Holdem poker tables at:
https://www.bwin.com/texas-holdem-poker. The site is full of fish!
Price is everything in sports betting
Novice sports bettors seem
transfixed with finding winners in my opinion however finding winners is
illusory in nature. The basic idea is that you cannot go wrong identifying
the winner. This is all well and good if your selection does indeed win
but the fact of the matter is that you cannot be certain that what you
have selected will win. If it was a certainty then there wouldn’t be any
market for you to
bet on. There is no greater proof to what I am saying here than the
myriad of scams that frequent the internet these days from people offering
systems that are based on strike rates. For those of you who are unaware
then a strike rate is the ratio of winners to losers that you have. So if
a betting system has a 50% strike rate then it has one winner for every
loser. There are many systems out there that flaunt these sorts of strike
rates but nearly all of them do not work. Firstly we will assume that the
system seller is telling the truth to begin with. The psychology of it all
is that many of these system sellers understand the mindset of the people
who want to buy their systems. Your average punter wants winners on a
regular basis. No average punter wants to work like the professional who
may be enduring long losing runs in the pursuit of value. They want
regular winners to soften the blow of losing money in the long term. Let
us say that your typical system seller is selling a system that has a 50%
strike rate. However to build confidence in the purchaser they offer short
priced horses and competitors but the problem is with the average price.
If the average price of this 50% of winners is say 1-2 then you would be
risking $100 (assuming $1 bets) and your return would only be $75. You win
$0.50 a total of fifty times which comes to $25 plus your stake back. So
you lose $25 over 100 bets which is -$0.25 per bet. All of this is despite
a strike rate of 50% which highlights my point. Getting a good strike rate
is not really all that important if your average price does not reach a
certain level. A punter who had a 10% strike rate could be making money if
their selections that won were high priced. I have known professional
punters who bet on golf tournaments have successful careers with strike
rates of a mere 2%. Only having two winning bets out of every hundred is
taxing mentally but when your winning bets are in the 100-1 to 200-1
category then you are certainly going to make money with a 2% strike rate.
So this article highlights that price is everything in sports betting and
also that strike rates without price levels means very little indeed and
once novice punters realise this then they can eventually move on. |